Theses 16 / 19 QUALITATIVE published 05 Apr 2026 · updated 18 July 2026 · v38

The Kuhn Paradigm Shift

What is happening with AI is a Kuhnian paradigm shift — not incremental improvement but a wholesale change in the conceptual framework through which work, software, and knowledge are understood. John identified identical Kuhnian defence patterns across software engineering, product design, and NLP/AI research: "They're wanting to prove something, not learn something." This is multi-front, not just software.

No market basket

This thesis is qualitative — its evidence lives in the signals feed and the research system rather than a price series.

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When we're wrong

One thesis is currently moving against us — Agents as Primary Users, +9.3% since published. It stays on the board. We update priors on evidence, not on evidence we went looking for.