Theses 04 / 19 QUALITATIVE published 05 Apr 2026 · updated 30 June 2026 · v40

Good Enough Is Good Enough

AI output quality has crossed the "good enough" threshold for most commercial purposes, even if it hasn't reached expert-level quality. The relevant comparison is not "as good as the best human" but "adequate for the task at hand." A vibe-coded Epstein files podcast built with Claude + Mac Mini over a weekend demonstrates the threshold. SharpAI benchmarks show small local models doing heavy lifting.

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One thesis is currently moving against us — Agents as Primary Users, +9.3% since published. It stays on the board. We update priors on evidence, not on evidence we went looking for.