Theses 03 / 19 QUALITATIVE published 14 June 2026 · updated 22 June 2026 · v7

Full-stack sovereignty: a frontier lab must own the stack down to the silicon

A frontier model maker that does not own its entire production stack - silicon, data centres, models, harnesses, applications - holds its core asset at the discretion of whoever owns the layer it rents. As Mark put it on 14 June 2026: "a frontier model maker has to own the entire stack - probably all the way down to the silicon. Silicon -> DCs -> models -> harnesses -> apps. Anything else and you have Andy Jassy rug-pulling on you."

No market basket

This thesis is qualitative — its evidence lives in the signals feed and the research system rather than a price series.

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One thesis is currently moving against us — Agents as Primary Users, +9.3% since published. It stays on the board. We update priors on evidence, not on evidence we went looking for.