Theses 01 / 19 AGAINST published 05 Apr 2026 · updated 07 May 2026 · v36

Agents as Primary Users

AI agents are becoming the primary users of digital infrastructure — not humans. Mark's formulation: "AI AGENTS ARE A DEATH SENTENCE FOR THE INTERNET" — meaning specifically the ad-driven, attention-mediated, human-facing internet. Agents don't use travel booking portals, they call APIs directly. The middlemen die. Booking.com and Expedia are explicit casualties. OpenAI's agentic shopping with Etsy/Shopify/Walmart/Amazon is building agent-commerce infrastructure. Visa is crea

-3.8pp
Basket vs S&P 500since published — the verdict number
Basket absolute+9.3% · 5 instruments
S&P 500 same period+13.1%
Call directionBullish ↑

A bullish call is scored on performance relative to the market, not the raw tape.

InstrumentPriceTodaySince publishedvs SPY90d
GOOGLAlphabet 359.51 +2.0% +19.8% +6.7pp
AMZNAmazon 247.49 +0.1% +16.3% +3.2pp
METAMeta 646.01 -2.8% +12.7% -0.4pp
PATHUiPath 11.95 +0.1% +7.2% -5.9pp
PLTRPalantir 133.72 +2.8% -9.6% -22.7pp
SPYS&P 500 — benchmark 745.40 -0.3% +13.1%
Basket: Agent platforms, agent commerce, and automation incumbents

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When we're wrong

One thesis is currently moving against us — Agents as Primary Users, +9.3% since published. It stays on the board. We update priors on evidence, not on evidence we went looking for.