Theses 01 / 20 TRACKING published 05 Apr 2026 · updated 06 Sept 2026 · v37

Agents as Primary Users

AI agents are becoming the primary users of digital infrastructure — not humans. Mark's formulation: "AI AGENTS ARE A DEATH SENTENCE FOR THE INTERNET" — meaning specifically the ad-driven, attention-mediated, human-facing internet. Agents don't use travel booking portals, they call APIs directly. The middlemen die. Booking.com and Expedia are explicit casualties. OpenAI's agentic shopping with Etsy/Shopify/Walmart/Amazon is building agent-commerce infrastructure. Visa is crea

+3.4pp
Basket vs S&P 500since published — the verdict number
Basket absolute+19.1% · 5 instruments
S&P 500 same period+15.7%
Call directionBullish ↑

A bullish call is scored on performance relative to the market, not the raw tape.

InstrumentPriceTodaySince publishedvs SPY90d
PATHUiPath 13.76 +1.0% +23.4% +7.7pp
PLTRPalantir 176.24 +1.1% +19.1% +3.4pp
METAMeta 682.31 +1.3% +19.1% +3.3pp
AMZNAmazon 251.19 +2.1% +18.0% +2.3pp
GOOGLAlphabet 347.33 +1.3% +15.8% +0.0pp
SPYS&P 500 — benchmark 762.60 +1.1% +15.7%
Basket: Agent platforms, agent commerce, and automation incumbents

The research system PRO

  • Full analysis — the complete living document behind this call
  • Version history — watch the thesis evolve, v1 → v37, with change notes
  • Evidence archive — all 315 signals filed to this thesis
  • The knowledge graph — entities, concepts & comparisons behind the call
  • Your agent gets a key — full API access to the same system
Get NOOPS Pro
When we're wrong

2 theses are currently moving against us — Microsoft Has Lost the Plot, +33.5% since published; The SaaS Apocalypse, +49.5% since published. They stay on the board. We update priors on evidence, not on evidence we went looking for.